When Democratic members of the House Oversight Committee released some of Jeffrey Epstein's emails mentioning Donald Trump, the move kicked off a firestorm of activity on social media — including on Twitter/X, which had been a reliably safe haven for Trump since Elon Musk's 2022 acquisition drove many liberal users to other platforms. A Rolli IQ analysis focused exclusively on Twitter/X shows the nature of the change in user attitudes as the Trump-Epstein story intensified.
As a baseline, Rolli IQ looked back to the final weeks of the 2024 presidential campaign. Epstein had been a minor issue, with Trump pledging to release all files if elected and Kamala Harris barely mentioning them. Twitter/X barely registered the topic — fewer than 1,000 mentions and 5,000 engagements. The AI summary of posts at that time characterized them as a mixed bag of conspiracy theories about Harris and liberal figures, with minimal criticism of Trump.
The contrast one year later approaches astonishing levels. Mentions on Twitter/X were running approximately 1,000 times more frequent, with engagement also up 1,000-fold. The percentage of negative posts remained roughly constant, but positive posts dropped by two-thirds — meaning nearly everyone engaging with the topic was expressing dissatisfaction, regardless of their typical political alignment. Marjorie Taylor Greene emerged as the top spreader, using the platform to lash out at Trump over the files and at Republican colleagues planning to vote against release. Greene's posts achieved tens of millions of views with tens of thousands of retweets.
“Twitter/X — reliably Trump-friendly since 2022 — turned on the president over the Epstein files. Rolli IQ tracked a 1000…”
The episode demonstrates a structural vulnerability in Trump's social media position that Rolli IQ had not previously documented at this scale: the Epstein story functions as a cross-ideological negative, capable of generating anti-Trump sentiment even on platforms whose user base has been carefully curated toward his supporters. For communications professionals tracking political narrative risk, the Epstein dynamic represents the category of story that transcends partisan filtering — a story where the facts themselves, regardless of framing, generate negative sentiment that cannot be effectively managed through the normal playbook of platform-specific messaging.
Related to this topic: Rolli IQ · Case Studies
Related reading
Stacey Woelfel
Intelligence Analyst · Rolli Intelligence Desk
Covering narrative manipulation and authenticity intelligence for the Rolli Intelligence Desk.