Donald Trump won his second term based in part on his promise to release federal government files on Jeffrey Epstein. When a Fox News host asked in June 2024, 'Would you declassify the Epstein files?' Trump's answer was a simple 'Yeah, yeah I would.' Since starting his second term, the files have not been released, and Trump has publicly bullied reporters who raise the question. Rolli IQ's analysis of January 21 to August 18, 2025, across Twitter, Bluesky, Reddit, and YouTube shows more than 14 million engagements running 89 percent negative — a sustained and intense negative baseline that has proven resistant to displacement.
Pundits have suggested that some of Trump's most controversial summer moves were attempts to distract from the Epstein story. Rolli IQ tested this hypothesis against three specific events. The first was the deployment of the National Guard to Los Angeles in the wake of ICE protests. The LA deployment generated significant negative social media reaction, but Epstein engagements during the same period outpaced the National Guard story — and ran substantially more negative. The second event was a federal takeover of the DC police force in August, which the administration framed as a law-and-order measure. The DC policing story was dwarfed by the Epstein conversation: Epstein ran twice as negative and at four times the volume.
Average authenticity confidence score during tracked narrative events. Anything above 70 indicates predominantly organic engagement.
The third and most significant test was Trump's meeting with Vladimir Putin in Alaska — a major foreign policy event directly tied to his campaign promise of ending the Ukraine war. The Putin summit genuinely displaced Epstein in volume terms for the period of the meeting, achieving nearly one million more engagements than the scandal during that window. There was also a measurable decline in Epstein negative sentiment during the summit period, accompanied by a jump in 'irrelevant' posts — suggesting that some users were deploying Epstein keywords for unrelated content, possibly as a way to keep the scandal visible while the news cycle focused elsewhere.
“14M+ Epstein engagements running 89% negative. Rolli IQ tested whether the LA National Guard deployment, DC policing tak…”
After the Putin meeting, however, the Epstein story rebounded. Rolli IQ's Emotion Mapping, eliminating irrelevant posts, shows that the underlying sentiment of those engaged with the Epstein topic is consistently and intensely angry and disgusted — not fatigued or declining. The pattern suggests that Trump's controversial policy moves are not functioning as effective distractions from the Epstein narrative but rather as parallel negative tracks that run simultaneously with it. For communications professionals analyzing the administration's information management strategy, the Rolli IQ data provides a clear answer to the distraction hypothesis: it is not working.
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Intelligence Analyst · Rolli Intelligence Desk
Covering narrative manipulation and authenticity intelligence for the Rolli Intelligence Desk.